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On Bifurcations of Dynamical Systems · 1974-pde-10

Bifurcation and Random Dynamical Systems · ICM 1974: On Bifurcations of Dynamical Systems

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Source assessment · not reviewedAs of 2026-08-18Source & evidence ↓

Problem statement

Fix a compact smooth manifold MM and an integer rr with 1<r<∞1<r<\infty. Let Diff⁡r(M)\operatorname{Diff}^r(M) have the CrC^r topology, and let Δ⊂Diff⁡r(M)\Delta\subset\operatorname{Diff}^r(M) be the set of Morse--Smale diffeomorphisms. Let Φ\Phi be the space, with the C1C^1 topology, of C1C^1 arcs ξ:[0,1]→Diff⁡r(M)\xi:[0,1]\to\operatorname{Diff}^r(M) such that ξ(0)∈Δ\xi(0)\in\Delta and the first exit time

b=b(ξ):=inf⁡{t∈[0,1]:ξ(t)∉Δ} b=b(\xi):=\inf\{t\in[0,1]:\xi(t)\notin\Delta\}

exists and satisfies ξ(b)∈∂Δ\xi(b)\in\partial\Delta. For f∈Diff⁡r(M)f\in\operatorname{Diff}^r(M) and x∈Mx\in M, let ωf(x)\omega_f(x) and αf(x)\alpha_f(x) denote the sets of accumulation points of the forward orbit (fn(x))n≥0(f^n(x))_{n\ge 0} and the backward orbit (f−n(x))n≥0(f^{-n}(x))_{n\ge 0}, respectively, and define

L+(f):=⋃x∈Mωf(x)‾andL−(f):=⋃x∈Mαf(x)‾. L^+(f):=\overline{\bigcup_{x\in M}\omega_f(x)} \qquad\text{and}\qquad L^-(f):=\overline{\bigcup_{x\in M}\alpha_f(x)}.

Determine whether the set

{ξ∈Φ:L+(ξ(b(ξ))) is finite or L−(ξ(b(ξ))) is finite} \bigl\{\xi\in\Phi: L^+(\xi(b(\xi)))\text{ is finite or }L^-(\xi(b(\xi)))\text{ is finite}\bigr\}

is dense in Φ\Phi.

Lean 4

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Remaining questions in this record

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Question 1

Fix a compact smooth manifold MM, let r>5r>5 and k>1k>1, and let Diff⁡r(M)\operatorname{Diff}^{r}(M) have the CrC^{r} topology. Let Δ\Delta be the Morse--Smale diffeomorphisms, and let Φ\Phi be the CkC^{k}-arc space (with its CkC^{k} topology) of arcs ξ:[0,1]→Diff⁡r(M)\xi:[0,1]\to\operatorname{Diff}^{r}(M) with ξ(0)∈Δ\xi(0)\in\Delta and first exit time b=inf⁡{t:ξ(t)∉Δ}<1b=\inf\{t:\xi(t)\notin\Delta\}<1. For f∈Diff⁡r(M)f\in\operatorname{Diff}^{r}(M) and x∈Mx\in M, let αf(x)\alpha_f(x) and ωf(x)\omega_f(x) be the accumulation sets of the backward and forward iterates of xx, respectively, and set L(f)=⋃x∈Mαf(x)‾∪⋃x∈Mωf(x)‾L(f)=\overline{\bigcup_{x\in M}\alpha_f(x)}\cup\overline{\bigcup_{x\in M}\omega_f(x)}. Let Ω(f)\Omega(f) be the set of points xx for which every neighborhood UU meets fn(U)f^n(U) for some n>0n>0.

Assume that L(ξ(b))L(\xi(b)) is finite and hyperbolic and contains a cycle of hyperbolic periodic orbits, meaning periodic orbits O(p0),…,O(pj)=O(p0)\mathcal O(p_0),\ldots,\mathcal O(p_j)=\mathcal O(p_0) with Wu(O(pi))∩Ws(O(pi+1))≠∅W^u(\mathcal O(p_i))\cap W^s(\mathcal O(p_{i+1}))\ne\varnothing for every ii, and with stable-manifold dimensions not all equal. Determine whether, for a residual subset of such arcs ξ\xi, there are structurally stable diffeomorphisms ξ(t)\xi(t) with t>bt>b arbitrarily close to bb whose nonwandering sets Ω(ξ(t))\Omega(\xi(t)) are infinite and zero-dimensional.

Source reference: Sheldon E. Newhouse and Jacob Palis, "Cycles and Bifurcation Theory," Asterisque 31, Societe Mathematique de France, 1976, pp. 43-140, Section 6 (the proposed extension of Theorem (4.2) to non-equidimensional cycles), https://www.numdam.org/item/AST_1976__31__43_0/.

Question 2

Fix a compact smooth manifold MM, let r>5r>5 and k>1k>1, and let Diff⁡r(M)\operatorname{Diff}^{r}(M) have the CrC^{r} topology. Let Δ\Delta be the Morse--Smale diffeomorphisms, and let Φ\Phi be the CkC^{k}-arc space (with its CkC^{k} topology) of arcs ξ:[0,1]→Diff⁡r(M)\xi:[0,1]\to\operatorname{Diff}^{r}(M) with ξ(0)∈Δ\xi(0)\in\Delta and first exit time b=inf⁡{t:ξ(t)∉Δ}<1b=\inf\{t:\xi(t)\notin\Delta\}<1. For f∈Diff⁡r(M)f\in\operatorname{Diff}^{r}(M) and x∈Mx\in M, let αf(x)\alpha_f(x) and ωf(x)\omega_f(x) be the accumulation sets of the backward and forward iterates of xx, respectively, and set L(f)=⋃x∈Mαf(x)‾∪⋃x∈Mωf(x)‾L(f)=\overline{\bigcup_{x\in M}\alpha_f(x)}\cup\overline{\bigcup_{x\in M}\omega_f(x)}. A periodic orbit is quasi-hyperbolic if the derivative of its return map has exactly one simple neutral block (a simple eigenvalue 11, a simple eigenvalue −1-1, or a simple complex-conjugate pair of modulus one) and all other multipliers are off the unit circle.

Assume that L(ξ(b))L(\xi(b)) is finite and that it contains a cycle of periodic orbits, meaning periodic orbits O(p0),…,O(pj)=O(p0)\mathcal O(p_0),\ldots,\mathcal O(p_j)=\mathcal O(p_0) with Wu(O(pi))∩Ws(O(pi+1))≠∅W^u(\mathcal O(p_i))\cap W^s(\mathcal O(p_{i+1}))\ne\varnothing for every ii, and that one orbit in this cycle is quasi-hyperbolic. Determine whether, for a residual subset of such arcs ξ\xi, there are structurally stable diffeomorphisms ξ(t)\xi(t) with t>bt>b arbitrarily close to bb.

Source reference: Sheldon E. Newhouse and Jacob Palis, "Cycles and Bifurcation Theory," Asterisque 31, Societe Mathematique de France, 1976, pp. 43-140, Section 6 (the proposed extension of Theorem (4.2) to a quasi-hyperbolic periodic point contained in a cycle), https://www.numdam.org/item/AST_1976__31__43_0/.

Progress & source assessment

Source-reported assessment from the ICM catalogue snapshot. This is not an independent review by Frontier Science.

The exact density question remains unresolved. No proof of density and no open set of arcs excluding both one-sided finiteness alternatives was found. The known results describe what happens once one assumes that one of the limit sets at the first bifurcation is finite, but they do not establish that such arcs are dense.

  • Bifurcations of Morse-Smale Dynamical Systems, Sheldon E. Newhouse and Jacob Palis, in Dynamical Systems: Proceedings of a Symposium Held at the University of Bahia, Salvador, 1971, Academic Press, 1973, pp. 303-366. Direct PDF. Proposition 2.4 proves that, for a residual set of sufficiently smooth arcs, the first-bifurcation diffeomorphism has finitely many periodic points. Theorem 2.5 proves an openness result conditional on (L^-) being finite. The paper explicitly identifies density of the alternative (L^-) finite or (L^+) finite as the missing closing-lemma-type problem; finite periodic points alone do not imply either required limit set is finite.

  • Cycles and Bifurcation Theory, Sheldon E. Newhouse and Jacob Palis, Asterisque 31 (1976), pp. 43-140. Numdam. Theorem 3.1 strengthens the conditional openness result (for (C^k) arcs with (k>1) and (r>5)). Theorem 3.14 shows on a residual class that if the full limit set at the first bifurcation consists of finitely many orbits, then one of (L^-) or (L^+) is finite; the converse follows from their preceding analysis. The authors then state the remaining generic finiteness assertion as Conjecture 1. These results reduce and clarify the question but do not prove the required density.

  • Bifurcations and Stability of Families of Diffeomorphisms, Sheldon E. Newhouse, Jacob Palis, and Floris Takens, Publications Mathematiques de l'IHES 57 (1983), pp. 5-71. DOI: 10.1007/BF02698773. This paper gives a complete description of stable arcs under the hypothesis that their limit sets consist of finitely many orbits. It does not remove that hypothesis or establish its density.

  • On the Mathematical Contributions of Jacob Palis, Sheldon Newhouse, Asterisque 286 (2003), pp. 1-24. Numdam. This retrospective again describes the first-bifurcation classification as conditional on the limit set having finitely many orbits and records later stable-arc results under the same finiteness assumption, providing no complete answer to the density question.

  • Non-periodic Bifurcations for Surface Diffeomorphisms, Vanderlei Horita, Nivaldo Muniz, and Paulo Rogerio Sabini, Transactions of the American Mathematical Society 367 (2015), no. 12, pp. 8279-8300. DOI: 10.1090/tran/6168; arXiv: 1211.6682. The authors construct positive-measure families of non-periodic boundary bifurcations for surfaces and note the lack of substantial progress on the related Newhouse-Palis generic first-bifurcation program beyond the finite-limit-set case. Their measure-theoretic examples do not disprove topological density of the arcs in the statement and do not resolve the exact problem.

Thus the established progress is conditional openness, generic finiteness of periodic points, and classification/equivalence results under finite-limit-set hypotheses. What remains is precisely the global density step for arbitrary arcs in (Phi), including all compact manifolds and every (r>1) covered by the statement.

References
  1. [1]ICM Conjectures · 1974-pde-10 link
  2. [2]ICM 1974: On Bifurcations of Dynamical Systems link

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