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Inapproximability of NP-complete Problems, Discrete Fourier Analysis, and Geometry · 2010-prob-195

Combinatorial probability · ICM 2010: Inapproximability of NP-complete Problems, Discrete Fourier Analysis, and Geometry

Inferred from the community field; finer classification has not been reviewed.

Source assessment · not reviewedAs of 2026-08-18Source & evidence ↓

Problem statement

For an integer k≥3k\ge 3, write [k]={1,…,k}[k]=\{1,\ldots,k\}. Given n≥1n\ge 1 and ρ∈[0,1]\rho\in[0,1], let X=(X1,…,Xn)X=(X_1,\ldots,X_n) be uniformly distributed on [k]n[k]^n, and, conditionally on XX, construct Y=(Y1,…,Yn)Y=(Y_1,\ldots,Y_n) by independently setting, for each ii, Yi=XiY_i=X_i with probability ρ\rho and otherwise resampling YiY_i uniformly from [k][k]. For a function f:[k]n→[k]f:[k]^n\to[k], define its noise stability by

Sρ(f)=Pr⁡[f(X)=f(Y)].S_\rho(f)=\Pr[f(X)=f(Y)].

Call ff balanced if Pr⁡[f(X)=j]=1/k\Pr[f(X)=j]=1/k for every j∈[k]j\in[k]. If X(i)X^{(i)} is obtained from XX by independently resampling its iith coordinate uniformly from [k][k], define the influence of coordinate ii by

Inf⁡i(f)=Pr⁡[f(X)≠f(X(i))].\operatorname{Inf}_i(f)=\Pr[f(X)\ne f(X^{(i)})].

For m≥1m\ge 1, let Plur⁡k,m:[k]m→[k]\operatorname{Plur}_{k,m}:[k]^m\to[k] output a label occurring most often in its input, using any fixed rule to break ties, and set

PlurStab⁡(k,ρ)=lim⁡m→∞Sρ(Plur⁡k,m),\operatorname{PlurStab}(k,\rho)=\lim_{m\to\infty}S_\rho(\operatorname{Plur}_{k,m}),

where the value of the limit is independent of the tie-breaking rule. Prove that for every integer k≥3k\ge 3, every ρ∈[0,1]\rho\in[0,1], and every ε>0\varepsilon>0, there exists τ>0\tau>0 such that, for every n≥1n\ge 1 and every balanced function f:[k]n→[k]f:[k]^n\to[k] satisfying Inf⁡i(f)≤τ\operatorname{Inf}_i(f)\le\tau for all i∈{1,…,n}i\in\{1,\ldots,n\},

Sρ(f)≤PlurStab⁡(k,ρ)+ε.S_\rho(f)\le \operatorname{PlurStab}(k,\rho)+\varepsilon.

Lean 4

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Question 1

Let [3]={1,2,3}[3]=\{1,2,3\}. Given n≥1n\ge 1 and ρ∈[0,1]\rho\in[0,1], let X=(X1,…,Xn)X=(X_1,\ldots,X_n) be uniformly distributed on [3]n[3]^n, and, conditionally on XX, construct Y=(Y1,…,Yn)Y=(Y_1,\ldots,Y_n) by independently setting, for each ii, Yi=XiY_i=X_i with probability ρ\rho and otherwise resampling YiY_i uniformly from [3][3]. For a function f:[3]n→[3]f:[3]^n\to[3], define

Sρ(f)=Pr⁡[f(X)=f(Y)].S_\rho(f)=\Pr[f(X)=f(Y)].

Call ff balanced if Pr⁡[f(X)=j]=1/3\Pr[f(X)=j]=1/3 for every j∈[3]j\in[3]. If X(i)X^{(i)} is obtained from XX by independently resampling its iith coordinate uniformly from [3][3], define

Inf⁡i(f)=Pr⁡[f(X)≠f(X(i))].\operatorname{Inf}_i(f)=\Pr[f(X)\ne f(X^{(i)})].

For m≥1m\ge 1, let Plur⁡3,m:[3]m→[3]\operatorname{Plur}_{3,m}:[3]^m\to[3] output a label occurring most often in its input, using any fixed rule to break ties, and set

PlurStab⁡(3,ρ)=lim⁡m→∞Sρ(Plur⁡3,m),\operatorname{PlurStab}(3,\rho)=\lim_{m\to\infty}S_\rho(\operatorname{Plur}_{3,m}),

where the limit is independent of the tie-breaking rule. Prove that for every ρ∈[0,1]\rho\in[0,1] and every ε>0\varepsilon>0, there exists τ>0\tau>0 such that, for every n≥1n\ge 1 and every balanced function f:[3]n→[3]f:[3]^n\to[3] satisfying Inf⁡i(f)≤τ\operatorname{Inf}_i(f)\le\tau for all i∈{1,…,n}i\in\{1,\ldots,n\},

Sρ(f)≤PlurStab⁡(3,ρ)+ε.S_\rho(f)\le \operatorname{PlurStab}(3,\rho)+\varepsilon.

Source reference: Steven Heilman, “Three Candidate Plurality is Stablest for Correlations at most 1/10,” preprint, 2023, Theorem 1.6 (three-candidate Plurality is Stablest Conjecture), arXiv:2306.03312, https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.03312.

Progress & source assessment

Source-reported assessment from the ICM catalogue snapshot. This is not an independent review by Frontier Science.

The statement is the balanced, positive-correlation Plurality is Stablest Conjecture. It remains unresolved. The cases ρ=0\rho=0 and ρ=1\rho=1 are immediate, and substantial special cases are known, but no result covers every fixed ρ∈(0,1)\rho\in(0,1) even for k=3k=3, nor every k≥4k\ge 4.

  • Subhash Khot, Guy Kindler, Elchanan Mossel, and Ryan O'Donnell, “Optimal Inapproximability Results for MAX-CUT and Other 2-Variable CSPs?”, SIAM Journal on Computing 37(1), 2007, 319–357, DOI 10.1137/S0097539705447372. This paper introduced Plurality is Stablest and explicitly left it open.
  • Marcus Isaksson and Elchanan Mossel, “Maximally Stable Gaussian Partitions with Discrete Applications,” Israel Journal of Mathematics 189, 2012, 347–396, DOI 10.1007/s11856-011-0181-7, arXiv:0903.3362. Conjecture 1.9 gives the formal discrete conjecture; Theorems 1.10 and 1.11 relate it to the equal-measure Standard Simplex Conjecture in Gaussian space. Thus the Gaussian conjecture would imply the statement, but it is not itself proved there.
  • Steven Heilman, “Stable Gaussian Minimal Bubbles,” preprint, 2019, arXiv:1901.03934. Corollary 1.11 proves a weak stability estimate near the limiting regime ρ→1−\rho\to1^{-} (unconditionally for three parts and conditionally in the stated higher-part setting). Its error term does not give the sharp inequality required here for every fixed ρ\rho.
  • Steven Heilman and Alex Tarter, “Three Candidate Plurality is Stablest for Small Correlations,” Forum of Mathematics, Sigma 9 (2021), e65, DOI 10.1017/fms.2021.56, arXiv:2011.05583. They prove the conjecture for k=3k=3 and all sufficiently small fixed positive correlations, the first fixed-ρ\rho case.
  • Steven Heilman, “Three Candidate Plurality is Stablest for Correlations at most 1/10,” preprint, 2023, arXiv:2306.03312. Theorems 1.5 and 1.6 prove the three-candidate Gaussian and discrete assertions for positive correlations through ρ=0.1082\rho=0.1082 (and also a negative-correlation analogue on a small interval). The paper explicitly states that the three-candidate result should hold for all ρ<1\rho<1 and identifies extending the estimates to all correlations as a remaining bottleneck.

Consequently, the strongest direct progress still leaves positive correlations above the proved three-candidate range and the general k≥4k\ge4 case open, so it does not resolve the quantified assertion in the statement.

References
  1. [1]ICM Conjectures · 2010-prob-195 link
  2. [2]ICM 2010: Inapproximability of NP-complete Problems, Discrete Fourier Analysis, and Geometry link

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