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Selected topics in mean field games · 2022-econ-12

Dynamic, Stochastic and Differential Games · ICM 2022: Selected topics in mean field games

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Problem statement

Let d≥3d\geq 3, E={1,…,d}E=\{1,\ldots,d\},

Δ={m=(m1,…,md)∈[0,1]d:∑i=1dmi=1},Δ˚={m∈Δ:mi>0 for every i}, \Delta=\left\{m=(m_1,\ldots,m_d)\in[0,1]^d:\sum_{i=1}^d m_i=1\right\}, \qquad \mathring\Delta=\{m\in\Delta:m_i>0\text{ for every }i\},

and let T>0T>0. For x∈Rx\in\mathbb R, write x+=max⁡{x,0}x_+=\max\{x,0\}. Let F=(Fi)i∈EF=(F^i)_{i\in E} and G=(Gi)i∈EG=(G^i)_{i\in E} be bounded, sufficiently smooth functions on Δ\Delta, and fix m0∈Δ˚m_0\in\mathring\Delta. No potential assumption is imposed: if

TΔ={h∈Rd:∑i=1dhi=0}, T\Delta=\left\{h\in\mathbb R^d:\sum_{i=1}^d h_i=0\right\},

then it is not assumed that there are scalar functions F,G:Δ→R\mathcal F,\mathcal G:\Delta\to\mathbb R satisfying

DF(m)[h]=∑i=1dFi(m)hi,DG(m)[h]=∑i=1dGi(m)hi D\mathcal F(m)[h]=\sum_{i=1}^d F^i(m)h_i, \qquad D\mathcal G(m)[h]=\sum_{i=1}^d G^i(m)h_i

for every m∈Δ˚m\in\mathring\Delta and h∈TΔh\in T\Delta.

Consider the deterministic finite-state mean field game

{−u˙ti+12∑j∈E(uti−utj)+2=Fi(mt),m˙ti=∑j∈E[mtj(utj−uti)+−mti(uti−utj)+],m(0)=m0,ui(T)=Gi(m(T)),i∈E.(1) \begin{cases} -\dot u_t^i+\dfrac12\displaystyle\sum_{j\in E}(u_t^i-u_t^j)_+^2=F^i(m_t),\\[2mm] \dot m_t^i=\displaystyle\sum_{j\in E}\left[m_t^j(u_t^j-u_t^i)_+-m_t^i(u_t^i-u_t^j)_+\right],\\ m(0)=m_0,\qquad u^i(T)=G^i(m(T)), \end{cases} \qquad i\in E. \tag{1}

For each ε>0\varepsilon>0, let (Wi,j)i,j∈E(W^{i,j})_{i,j\in E} be independent standard Brownian motions. One may choose a nonnegative smooth transition penalty φε:[0,∞)→[0,∞)\varphi^\varepsilon:[0,\infty)\to[0,\infty), positive near 00, which points inward at the boundary and satisfies

φε⟶0locally uniformly on (0,∞)as ε↓0.(2) \varphi^\varepsilon\longrightarrow0 \quad\text{locally uniformly on }(0,\infty) \quad\text{as }\varepsilon\downarrow0. \tag{2}

The corresponding penalized Wright--Fisher common-noise mean field game is the forward-backward stochastic system

duti=[12∑j∈E(uti−utj)+2−Fi(mt)−ε∑j∈Emtimtj(vti,i,j−vti,j,i)−∑j∈Eφε(mtj)(utj−uti)]dt+∑j,k∈Evti,j,k dWtj,k,dmti=∑j∈E[mtj(φε(mti)+(utj−uti)+)−mti(φε(mtj)+(uti−utj)+)]dt+ε∑j∈Emtimtj d(Wti,j−Wtj,i),m(0)=m0,uTi=Gi(mT),i∈E.(3) \begin{aligned} du_t^i={}&\Bigg[\frac12\sum_{j\in E}(u_t^i-u_t^j)_+^2-F^i(m_t) -\sqrt\varepsilon\sum_{j\in E}\sqrt{m_t^i m_t^j} \bigl(v_t^{i,i,j}-v_t^{i,j,i}\bigr) -\sum_{j\in E}\varphi^\varepsilon(m_t^j)(u_t^j-u_t^i)\Bigg]dt +\sum_{j,k\in E}v_t^{i,j,k}\,dW_t^{j,k},\\ dm_t^i={}&\sum_{j\in E}\Bigl[ m_t^j\bigl(\varphi^\varepsilon(m_t^i)+(u_t^j-u_t^i)_+\bigr) -m_t^i\bigl(\varphi^\varepsilon(m_t^j)+(u_t^i-u_t^j)_+\bigr) \Bigr]dt\\ &\quad+\sqrt\varepsilon\sum_{j\in E}\sqrt{m_t^i m_t^j}\, d(W_t^{i,j}-W_t^{j,i}),\\ m(0)={}&m_0,\qquad u_T^i=G^i(m_T), \end{aligned} \qquad i\in E. \tag{3}

Its second-order master equation for Uε=(Uε,i)i∈EU^\varepsilon=(U^{\varepsilon,i})_{i\in E} is

0=∂tUε,i+ε∑j,k∈E(mjδj,k−mjmk)∂mjmk2Uε,i+∑j,k∈Emk[φε(mj)+(Uε,k−Uε,j)+](∂mjUε,i−∂mkUε,i)+2ε∑j∈Emj(∂miUε,i−∂mjUε,i)−12∑j∈E(Uε,i−Uε,j)+2+Fi(m)+∑j∈Eφε(mj)(Uε,j−Uε,i),Uε,i(T,m)=Gi(m),(4) \begin{aligned} 0={}&\partial_tU^{\varepsilon,i} +\varepsilon\sum_{j,k\in E}(m_j\delta_{j,k}-m_jm_k) \partial_{m_jm_k}^2U^{\varepsilon,i}\\ &+\sum_{j,k\in E}m_k\Bigl[ \varphi^\varepsilon(m_j)+(U^{\varepsilon,k}-U^{\varepsilon,j})_+ \Bigr] (\partial_{m_j}U^{\varepsilon,i}-\partial_{m_k}U^{\varepsilon,i})\\ &+2\varepsilon\sum_{j\in E}m_j (\partial_{m_i}U^{\varepsilon,i}-\partial_{m_j}U^{\varepsilon,i}) -\frac12\sum_{j\in E}(U^{\varepsilon,i}-U^{\varepsilon,j})_+^2 +F^i(m)\\ &+\sum_{j\in E}\varphi^\varepsilon(m_j) (U^{\varepsilon,j}-U^{\varepsilon,i}), \qquad U^{\varepsilon,i}(T,m)=G^i(m), \end{aligned} \tag{4}

for i∈Ei\in E. All derivatives in mm are intrinsic derivatives on the simplex; equivalently, one may use smooth extensions off Δ\Delta, since only tangential derivative differences occur.

Determine whether the penalties φε\varphi^\varepsilon can be chosen so that, without invoking a mean field control problem or any potential structure, the following conclusions all hold:

  1. For every ε>0\varepsilon>0, (3) has a unique adapted solution in a natural integrability class and (4) has a unique classical solution with the boundary regularity appropriate to the degenerate Kimura operator.

  2. As ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0, the laws of mεm^\varepsilon, regarded as probability measures on C([0,T];Δ)C([0,T];\Delta) with the uniform topology, are tight, and every weak limit can be characterized intrinsically as a distinguished equilibrium of (1). In particular, formulate and prove a selection criterion depending only on the nonpotential mean field game which identifies the deterministic equilibrium trajectories supporting each limiting law.

  3. The value differences Uε,i−Uε,jU^{\varepsilon,i}-U^{\varepsilon,j} converge, in a rigorously specified topology, to a canonical weak solution of the first-order master equation

0=∂tUi+∑j,k∈Emk(Uk−Uj)+(∂mjUi−∂mkUi)−12∑j∈E(Ui−Uj)+2+Fi(m),Ui(T,m)=Gi(m),i∈E,(5) \begin{aligned} 0={}&\partial_tU^i +\sum_{j,k\in E}m_k(U^k-U^j)_+ (\partial_{m_j}U^i-\partial_{m_k}U^i) -\frac12\sum_{j\in E}(U^i-U^j)_+^2+F^i(m),\\ &U^i(T,m)=G^i(m), \qquad i\in E, \end{aligned} \tag{5}

where the weak-solution class and an intrinsic admissibility or entropy condition are to be formulated so that the limiting value differences are uniquely characterized.

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Question 1

Let d≥3d\geq3, E={1,…,d}E=\{1,\ldots,d\}, and

Δ={m∈[0,1]d:∑i=1dmi=1}. \Delta=\left\{m\in[0,1]^d:\sum_{i=1}^d m_i=1\right\}.

Let F=(Fi)i∈EF=(F^i)_{i\in E} and G=(Gi)i∈EG=(G^i)_{i\in E} be smooth potential couplings: there are smooth scalar functions F,G:Δ→R\mathcal F,\mathcal G:\Delta\to\mathbb R such that, for every mm in the interior of Δ\Delta and every h∈Rdh\in\mathbb R^d with ∑ihi=0\sum_i h_i=0,

DF(m)[h]=∑i=1dFi(m)hi,DG(m)[h]=∑i=1dGi(m)hi. D\mathcal F(m)[h]=\sum_{i=1}^dF^i(m)h_i, \qquad D\mathcal G(m)[h]=\sum_{i=1}^dG^i(m)h_i.

Fix T>0T>0 and an interior initial distribution m0m_0. The associated deterministic mean field control problem is to minimize

∫0T[12∑i,j∈Ei≠jpti∣βti,j∣2+F(pt)]dt+G(pT)(1) \int_0^T\left[ \frac12\sum_{\substack{i,j\in E\\i\ne j}}p_t^i|\beta_t^{i,j}|^2 +\mathcal F(p_t)\right]dt+\mathcal G(p_T) \tag{1}

over bounded measurable transition rates βti,j≥0\beta_t^{i,j}\geq0 for i≠ji\ne j, with βti,i=−∑j≠iβti,j\beta_t^{i,i}=-\sum_{j\ne i}\beta_t^{i,j}, subject to

p˙ti=∑j∈Eptjβtj,i,p0=m0.(2) \dot p_t^i=\sum_{j\in E}p_t^j\beta_t^{j,i}, \qquad p_0=m_0. \tag{2}

For each N≥2N\geq2, consider the symmetric NN-player continuous-time Markov game in which player nn has state Xtn∈EX_t^n\in E, controls the transition rate αtn,i,j\alpha_t^{n,i,j} from ii to jj, and minimizes

E[∫0T(12∑j≠Xtn∣αtn,Xtn,j∣2+FXtn(mtN,n))dt+GXTn(mTN,n)],(3) \mathbb E\left[ \int_0^T\left( \frac12\sum_{j\ne X_t^n}|\alpha_t^{n,X_t^n,j}|^2 +F^{X_t^n}(m_t^{N,n}) \right)dt +G^{X_T^n}(m_T^{N,n}) \right], \tag{3}

where

mtN,n=1N−1∑ℓ≠nδXtℓ. m_t^{N,n}=\frac1{N-1}\sum_{\ell\ne n}\delta_{X_t^\ell}.

Let mtN=N−1∑n=1NδXtnm_t^N=N^{-1}\sum_{n=1}^N\delta_{X_t^n} be the empirical distribution under a symmetric Markovian Nash equilibrium, with initial empirical distributions converging to m0m_0.

Determine whether, for every sequence of such finite-player equilibria, every weak limit as N→∞N\to\infty of the laws of mNm^N is supported on the population trajectories pp generated by minimizers of the deterministic control problem (1)--(2), thereby excluding potential mean field game equilibria that are merely nonminimizing critical points of (1).

Source reference: Pierre Cardaliaguet and François Delarue, “Selected topics in mean field games,” Proceedings of the International Congress of Mathematicians 2022, vol. 5, EMS Press, 2022, pp. 3660–3703, Section 4.3 (“Selection of equilibria,” unnumbered open question), https://doi.org/10.4171/ICM2022/17.

Question 2

Let d≥3d\geq3, E={1,…,d}E=\{1,\ldots,d\}, and

Δ={m∈[0,1]d:∑i=1dmi=1}. \Delta=\left\{m\in[0,1]^d:\sum_{i=1}^d m_i=1\right\}.

Let F=(Fi)i∈EF=(F^i)_{i\in E} and G=(Gi)i∈EG=(G^i)_{i\in E} be smooth potential couplings: there are smooth scalar functions F,G:Δ→R\mathcal F,\mathcal G:\Delta\to\mathbb R such that, for every mm in the interior of Δ\Delta and every h∈Rdh\in\mathbb R^d with ∑ihi=0\sum_i h_i=0,

DF(m)[h]=∑i=1dFi(m)hi,DG(m)[h]=∑i=1dGi(m)hi. D\mathcal F(m)[h]=\sum_{i=1}^dF^i(m)h_i, \qquad D\mathcal G(m)[h]=\sum_{i=1}^dG^i(m)h_i.

Fix T>0T>0 and an interior initial distribution m0m_0. Define the deterministic mean field control problem by

inf⁡β{∫0T[12∑i,j∈Ei≠jpti∣βti,j∣2+F(pt)]dt+G(pT)},(1) \inf_{\beta}\left\{ \int_0^T\left[ \frac12\sum_{\substack{i,j\in E\\i\ne j}}p_t^i|\beta_t^{i,j}|^2 +\mathcal F(p_t)\right]dt+\mathcal G(p_T) \right\}, \tag{1}

where βti,j≥0\beta_t^{i,j}\geq0 for i≠ji\ne j, βti,i=−∑j≠iβti,j\beta_t^{i,i}=-\sum_{j\ne i}\beta_t^{i,j}, and

p˙ti=∑j∈Eptjβtj,i,p0=m0.(2) \dot p_t^i=\sum_{j\in E}p_t^j\beta_t^{j,i}, \qquad p_0=m_0. \tag{2}

For every ε>0\varepsilon>0, let (Wi,j)i,j∈E(W^{i,j})_{i,j\in E} be independent Brownian motions and choose a nonnegative smooth function φε:[0,∞)→[0,∞)\varphi^\varepsilon:[0,\infty)\to[0,\infty), positive near 00, whose inward drift is strong enough to give uniqueness and such that φε→0\varphi^\varepsilon\to0 locally uniformly on (0,∞)(0,\infty). Let (uε,mε,vε)(u^\varepsilon,m^\varepsilon,v^\varepsilon) be the unique solution of

dutε,i=[12∑j∈E(utε,i−utε,j)+2−Fi(mtε)−ε∑j∈Emtε,imtε,j(vtε,i,i,j−vtε,i,j,i)−∑j∈Eφε(mtε,j)(utε,j−utε,i)]dt+∑j,k∈Evtε,i,j,k dWtj,k,dmtε,i=∑j∈E[mtε,j(φε(mtε,i)+(utε,j−utε,i)+)−mtε,i(φε(mtε,j)+(utε,i−utε,j)+)]dt+ε∑j∈Emtε,imtε,j d(Wti,j−Wtj,i),m0ε=m0,uTε,i=Gi(mTε),i∈E.(3) \begin{aligned} du_t^{\varepsilon,i}={}&\Bigg[ \frac12\sum_{j\in E}(u_t^{\varepsilon,i}-u_t^{\varepsilon,j})_+^2 -F^i(m_t^\varepsilon) -\sqrt\varepsilon\sum_{j\in E}\sqrt{m_t^{\varepsilon,i}m_t^{\varepsilon,j}} \bigl(v_t^{\varepsilon,i,i,j}-v_t^{\varepsilon,i,j,i}\bigr)\\ &\qquad -\sum_{j\in E}\varphi^\varepsilon(m_t^{\varepsilon,j}) (u_t^{\varepsilon,j}-u_t^{\varepsilon,i}) \Bigg]dt +\sum_{j,k\in E}v_t^{\varepsilon,i,j,k}\,dW_t^{j,k},\\ dm_t^{\varepsilon,i}={}& \sum_{j\in E}\Bigl[ m_t^{\varepsilon,j}\bigl(\varphi^\varepsilon(m_t^{\varepsilon,i}) +(u_t^{\varepsilon,j}-u_t^{\varepsilon,i})_+\bigr) -m_t^{\varepsilon,i}\bigl(\varphi^\varepsilon(m_t^{\varepsilon,j}) +(u_t^{\varepsilon,i}-u_t^{\varepsilon,j})_+\bigr) \Bigr]dt\\ &\qquad +\sqrt\varepsilon\sum_{j\in E} \sqrt{m_t^{\varepsilon,i}m_t^{\varepsilon,j}}\, d(W_t^{i,j}-W_t^{j,i}),\\ m_0^\varepsilon={}&m_0,\qquad u_T^{\varepsilon,i}=G^i(m_T^\varepsilon), \qquad i\in E. \end{aligned} \tag{3}

The running and terminal couplings in (3) are the original FF and GG; no additional cost perturbation designed to make the positive-noise game potential is allowed.

Determine whether every weak limit, as ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0, of the laws of mεm^\varepsilon on C([0,T];Δ)C([0,T];\Delta) is supported on the population trajectories pp generated by minimizers of the deterministic mean field control problem (1)--(2).

Source reference: Pierre Cardaliaguet and François Delarue, “Selected topics in mean field games,” Proceedings of the International Congress of Mathematicians 2022, vol. 5, EMS Press, 2022, pp. 3660–3703, Section 4.3 (“Selection of equilibria,” unnumbered open question), https://doi.org/10.4171/ICM2022/17.

Progress & source assessment

Source-reported assessment from the ICM catalogue snapshot. This is not an independent review by Frontier Science.

The exact problem is unresolved. Its fixed-positive-noise well-posedness component is known, but no located result gives the requested vanishing-noise selection or canonical weak solution of the first-order master equation for arbitrary smooth nonpotential F,GF,G on a simplex of dimension at least two.

  • Erhan Bayraktar, Alekos Cecchin, Asaf Cohen, and François Delarue, “Finite state mean field games with Wright–Fisher common noise,” Journal de Mathématiques Pures et Appliquées 147 (2021), 98–162, doi:10.1016/j.matpur.2021.01.003, arXiv:1912.06701. Their main MFG and master-equation theorems prove, without a potential assumption, uniqueness of the positive-noise equilibrium and existence and uniqueness of a smooth solution of the degenerate Kimura master equation when the inward boundary drift is sufficiently strong. This establishes item 1 of the problem for a suitable penalty, but does not analyze ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0.

  • Alekos Cecchin and François Delarue, “Selection by vanishing common noise for potential finite state mean field games,” Communications in Partial Differential Equations 47 (2022), no. 1, 89–168, doi:10.1080/03605302.2021.1955256, arXiv:2005.12153. For potential games, they construct a specially modified positive-noise potential game, including a tailored perturbation of the running cost. Limit laws are supported on minimizers of the associated deterministic mean field control problem; viscous value differences converge almost everywhere to the gradient of its value function; and the resulting conservative master system has a unique bounded weakly semiconcave solution. The paper explicitly says that it cannot treat the primary, nonpotential Wright–Fisher regularization. Thus its selection criterion, conservative formulation, and uniqueness proof do not apply to the problem stated here.

  • Pierre Cardaliaguet and François Delarue, “Selected topics in mean field games,” Proceedings of the International Congress of Mathematicians 2022, vol. 5, 3660–3703, EMS Press, 2022, doi:10.4171/ICM2022/17. Section 4.4 explicitly identifies extension of the preceding finite-state selection and weak-master-equation results to the nonpotential case as a highly difficult open problem.

Later work has not closed this gap. P. Jameson Graber and Alpár R. Mészáros, “On some mean field games and master equations through the lens of conservation laws,” Mathematische Annalen 390 (2024), 4497–4533, doi:10.1007/s00208-024-02859-z, constructs entropy solutions only for a special terminal-interaction class and shows that they need not select Nash equilibria. P. Jameson Graber, “Remarks on potential mean field games,” Research in the Mathematical Sciences 12 (2025), article 13, doi:10.1007/s40687-024-00494-3, still describes equilibrium selection as a major open problem. Alekos Cecchin and Jodi Dianetti, “Convergence for linear quadratic potential mean field games” (2026), arXiv:2602.14842, proves multidimensional large-player and vanishing-common-noise selection for a special linear-quadratic potential model, not for finite-state arbitrary nonpotential couplings.

What remains open is precisely items 2 and 3 in the statement: an intrinsic characterization of all zero-noise limit laws for the unmodified nonpotential game, and a weak formulation plus admissibility condition that canonically and uniquely characterizes the limiting value differences without recovering a scalar control potential.

References
  1. [1]ICM Conjectures · 2022-econ-12 link
  2. [2]ICM 2022: Selected topics in mean field games link

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